Climate Risk for Zip Code 40003

Financial Exposure & Physical Hazard Analysis

Risk Summary

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in zip code 40003 are Inland Flooding, Tornado, and Strong Wind. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Lightning, Drought, and Landslide compared to national averages.

Data SourceFEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 Update)

Understanding the Dollars

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) is a statistical average of property damage for this entire zip code over a standard year across all properties.

  • / It represents the "average cost" rather than a guaranteed yearly bill.
  • / It can be used to compare the relative risk from different hazards and across different neighborhoods.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$229,146

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 40003

75.6Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Tornado

$133,505

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 40003

96.5Score

Very High compared to US average

Strong Wind

$64,092

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 40003

98.6Score

Very High compared to US average

Zip Code Risk Map

Legend
Very Low
Low
Moderate
High
Very High
Extreme

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$229,146
Score: 75.6
MAJOR DRIVER
Tornado
$133,505
Score: 96.5
MAJOR DRIVER
Strong Wind
$64,092
Score: 98.6
Earthquake
$36,652
Score: 78.4
Cold Wave
$32,874
Score: 75.6
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Lightning
$23,197
Score: 98.2
Heat Wave
$6,659
Score: 40.1
Ice Storm
$3,111
Score: 76.4
Hail
$2,965
Score: 61.0
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Drought
$1,437
Score: 86.0
Winter Weather
$1,116
Score: 65.0
Hurricane
$286
Score: 36.0
Wildfire
$210
Score: 66.1
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Landslide
$58
Score: 86.3

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 75.6
🌪️High Investment

Tornado Mitigation

Reinforce garage doors and consider a FEMA-approved safe room or storm cellar.

Risk Score: 96.5
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 98.6
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 98.2
🏠Low Investment

Drought Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 86.0
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 86.3

Methodology and Sources

Spatial Aggregation

Our "Atlas" risk scores are derived using a population-weighted spatial join. Because US Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, a simple geographic average would be misleading. We utilize US Census Block Group population statistics to identify where residents actually live within a Zip Code. We then intersect these points with FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) hazard data to calculate a weighted exposure score.

Financial Projections (EAL)

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) estimates the average economic impact of natural hazards in dollars per year. This calculation incorporates three components: Exposure (the value of structures and agriculture), Annualized Frequency (historical probability), and Historic Loss Ratio (vulnerability of the area).

Primary Data Sources

  • FEMA National Risk IndexHazard frequency and loss data (v1.20.0)
  • U.S. Census BureauTIGER/Line 2025 Shapefiles & Decennial Population

Nearby Locations

40003 Climate Risk Report | Financial & Hazard Analysis