Climate Risk Atlas/WA/Mount Vernon

Mount Vernon, WA Earthquake & Climate Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Mount Vernon, WA are Earthquake, Inland Flooding, and Volcanic Activity. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Ice Storm compared to national averages. Based on recent federal data, homeowners in this market face an estimated average annual insurance premium of $1,163, with a local policy non-renewal rate of 0.6%.

City Risk Scorecard
Physical Resilience53/100

Based on FEMA EAL and hazard intensity.

Insurance Stability
Market Stable

Metrics indicate a balanced risk-to-premium environment with standard renewal rates.

Spatial Analysis

Flood Plain Analysis

Localized Flood Dynamics in Mount Vernon

FEMA Flood Maps for Mount Vernon identify the "100-year" and "500-year" floodplains (1% and 0.2% annual chance), but modern climate risk analysis suggests that nearly 25% of flood insurance claims originate from properties outside of these designated high-risk zones.

Use the map above to better understand risk by looking at both the FEMA flood plain maps and FEMA Risk Inventory maps by census tract. Standard FEMA maps may not account for 'flash flooding' from intense rain events.
FEMA Designation vs. Reality
Relatively High
Relative Vulnerability
$6,499,497
Annualized Property Exposure

Insurance Market & Climate Stress Analysis

Current Avg. Premium (2022)

$1,163
Latest Market Rate

Recent Year Change

+1.9%
YoY Increase

2030 Forecast

$1,391
Based on 2.27% CAGR

Market Retreat (Non-Renewals)

0.60%

Higher rates indicate insurers are actively reducing exposure to Mount Vernon due to climate-linked risk.

Underwriting Stress (Loss Ratio)

38.0%

A ratio over 70% suggests insurers are paying out nearly all premiums as claims, forcing future price hikes.

Historical Market Trends

Toggle series below to compare costs vs. market stress indicators

Historical Trends & Forecasting

Compare premium costs against underlying risk factors.

Primary Risks

Earthquake

$10,773,307

Expected Annual Loss for Mount Vernon

89.2Score

Very High compared to US average

Inland Flooding

$6,499,497

Expected Annual Loss for Mount Vernon

60.3Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Volcanic Activity

$597,969

Expected Annual Loss for Mount Vernon

92.8Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$10,773,307
Score: 89.2
MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$6,499,497
Score: 60.3
MAJOR DRIVER
Volcanic Activity
$597,969
Score: 92.8
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Ice Storm
$409,494
Score: 92.5
Heat Wave
$242,744
Score: 39.9
Cold Wave
$200,724
Score: 34.2
Lightning
$74,434
Score: 41.9
Winter Weather
$28,972
Score: 56.3
Tornado
$21,658
Score: 6.3
Wildfire
$4,100
Score: 52.5
Strong Wind
$1,362
Score: 2.3
Hail
$1,182
Score: 3.6
Landslide
$116
Score: 46.1
Drought
$7
Score: 22.4

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 89.2
💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 60.3
🏠Low Investment

Volcanic Activity Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 92.8
❄️Medium Investment

Ice Storm Mitigation

Install a 10kWh backup battery system to keep pipes from freezing during grid failure.

Risk Score: 92.5
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 56.3
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 52.5

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Climate Risk Modeling

The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and hazard risk scores are derived from the FEMA NRI zip code dataset using a population-weighted spatial join. Because Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, we utilize US Census Block Group population centroids to identify where residents actually live.

Financial & Insurance Metrics

The pysical resilence score is calculated by synthesizing Expected Annual Loss (EAL) against the total building replacement value within a jurisdiction. This creates a "Loss Ratio" that measures physical resilience. We supplement this with ZIP-code level data from the U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office (FIO), monitoring trends in premium growth, loss ratios, and policy non-renewals to identify emerging "Insurance Deserts."

Primary Data Sources

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Mount Vernon