Machias, WA Flooding & Climate Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Machias, WA are Inland Flooding, Earthquake, and Heat Wave. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Ice Storm, Landslide, and Volcanic Activity compared to national averages. Based on recent federal data, homeowners in this market face an estimated average annual insurance premium of $1,261, with a local policy non-renewal rate of 0.6%.

City Risk Scorecard
Physical Resilience56/100

Based on FEMA EAL and hazard intensity.

Insurance Stability
Market Stable

Metrics indicate a balanced risk-to-premium environment with standard renewal rates.

Spatial Analysis

Flood Plain Analysis

Significant Flood Exposure in Machias

FEMA Flood Maps for Machias identify the "100-year" and "500-year" floodplains (1% and 0.2% annual chance), but modern climate risk analysis suggests that nearly 25% of flood insurance claims originate from properties outside of these designated high-risk zones.

Use the map above to better understand risk by looking at both the FEMA flood plain maps and FEMA Risk Inventory maps by census tract. Standard FEMA maps may not account for 'flash flooding' from intense rain events.
FEMA Designation vs. Reality
Relatively Moderate
Relative Vulnerability
$299,783
Annualized Property Exposure

Insurance Market & Climate Stress Analysis

Current Avg. Premium (2022)

$1,261
Latest Market Rate

Recent Year Change

+1.4%
YoY Increase

2030 Forecast

$1,482
Based on 2.04% CAGR

Market Retreat (Non-Renewals)

0.58%

Higher rates indicate insurers are actively reducing exposure to Machias due to climate-linked risk.

Underwriting Stress (Loss Ratio)

66.0%

A ratio over 70% suggests insurers are paying out nearly all premiums as claims, forcing future price hikes.

Historical Market Trends

Toggle series below to compare costs vs. market stress indicators

Historical Trends & Forecasting

Compare premium costs against underlying risk factors.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$299,783

Expected Annual Loss for Machias

78.2Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Earthquake

$199,375

Expected Annual Loss for Machias

88.3Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Heat Wave

$24,561

Expected Annual Loss for Machias

75.4Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$299,783
Score: 78.2
MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$199,375
Score: 88.3
MAJOR DRIVER
Heat Wave
$24,561
Score: 75.4
Cold Wave
$20,471
Score: 59.1
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Ice Storm
$5,940
Score: 84.6
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Landslide
$2,263
Score: 97.4
Lightning
$1,947
Score: 35.6
Tornado
$1,659
Score: 14.5
Winter Weather
$1,411
Score: 65.9
Wildfire
$172
Score: 61.8
Strong Wind
$112
Score: 5.4
Hail
$70
Score: 6.5
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Volcanic Activity
$4
Score: 84.8

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 78.2
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 88.3
☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 75.4
🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 59.1
❄️Medium Investment

Ice Storm Mitigation

Install a 10kWh backup battery system to keep pipes from freezing during grid failure.

Risk Score: 84.6
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 97.4
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 65.9
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 61.8
🏠Low Investment

Volcanic Activity Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 84.8

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Climate Risk Modeling

The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and hazard risk scores are derived from the FEMA NRI zip code dataset using a population-weighted spatial join. Because Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, we utilize US Census Block Group population centroids to identify where residents actually live.

Financial & Insurance Metrics

The pysical resilence score is calculated by synthesizing Expected Annual Loss (EAL) against the total building replacement value within a jurisdiction. This creates a "Loss Ratio" that measures physical resilience. We supplement this with ZIP-code level data from the U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office (FIO), monitoring trends in premium growth, loss ratios, and policy non-renewals to identify emerging "Insurance Deserts."

Primary Data Sources

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Machias