Gunnison, UT (84634) Avalanche & Climate Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Gunnison, UT (84634) are Avalanche, Inland Flooding, and Earthquake. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Wildfire, Lightning, Drought, Winter Weather, and Landslide compared to national averages. Based on recent federal data, homeowners in this market face an estimated average annual insurance premium of $981, with a local policy non-renewal rate of 1.1%.

Understanding the Dollars

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) is a statistical average of property damage for this entire zip code over a standard year across all properties.

  • / It represents the "average cost" rather than a guaranteed yearly bill.
  • / It can be used to compare the relative risk from different hazards and across different neighborhoods.

Zip Code Risk Map

Flood Plain Analysis

Localized Flood Dynamics in 84634

FEMA Flood Maps for 84634 identify the "100-year" and "500-year" floodplains (1% and 0.2% annual chance), but modern climate risk analysis suggests that nearly 25% of flood insurance claims originate from properties outside of these designated high-risk zones.

Use the map above to better understand risk by looking at both the FEMA flood plain maps and FEMA Risk Inventory maps by census tract. Standard FEMA maps may not account for 'flash flooding' from intense rain events.
FEMA Designation vs. Reality
Relatively Low
Relative Vulnerability
$169,857
Annualized Property Exposure

Primary Risks

Avalanche

$1,413,099

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 84634

92.9Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Inland Flooding

$169,857

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 84634

38.0Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

Earthquake

$103,688

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 84634

82.7Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Insurance Market Stability

Avg. Annual Premium (2022)

$981
Latest Market Rate

Year-over-Year Change

+7.7%
20212022

Market Retreat (Non-Renewals)

1.12%

Higher rates indicate insurers are actively reducing exposure to ZIP 84634 due to climate-linked risk.

Underwriting Stress (Loss Ratio)

28.0%

A ratio over 70% suggests insurers are paying out nearly all premiums as claims, forcing future price hikes.

Historical Market Trends

Toggle series below to compare costs vs. market stress indicators

Historical Trends & Forecasting

Compare premium costs against underlying risk factors.

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Avalanche
$1,413,099
Score: 92.9
MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$169,857
Score: 38.0
MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$103,688
Score: 82.7
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Wildfire
$46,626
Score: 95.4
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Lightning
$43,443
Score: 98.8
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Drought
$28,717
Score: 95.1
Heat Wave
$20,712
Score: 63.0
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Winter Weather
$12,661
Score: 96.8
Tornado
$5,032
Score: 27.0
Strong Wind
$2,779
Score: 30.3
Ice Storm
$421
Score: 15.3
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Landslide
$299
Score: 91.6
Hail
$273
Score: 18.3
Volcanic Activity
$1
Score: 77.1

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🏠Low Investment

Avalanche Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 92.9
💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 38.0
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 82.7
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 95.4
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 98.8
🏠Low Investment

Drought Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 95.1
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 96.8
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 91.6

Methodology and Sources

Spatial Climate Risk Modeling

The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and hazard risk scores are derived from the FEMA NRI zip code dataset using a population-weighted spatial join. Because Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, we utilize US Census Block Group population centroids to identify where residents actually live.

Financial & Insurance Metrics

The pysical resilence score is calculated by synthesizing Expected Annual Loss (EAL) against the total building replacement value within a jurisdiction. This creates a "Loss Ratio" that measures physical resilience. We supplement this with ZIP-code level data from the U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office (FIO), monitoring trends in premium growth, loss ratios, and policy non-renewals to identify emerging "Insurance Deserts."

Primary Data Sources

Nearby Locations