Climate Risk Atlas/TN/Colonial Heights

Colonial Heights, TN Flooding & Climate Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Colonial Heights, TN are Inland Flooding, Earthquake, and Strong Wind. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Landslide compared to national averages. Based on recent federal data, homeowners in this market face an estimated average annual insurance premium of $1,284, with a local policy non-renewal rate of 1.1%.

City Risk Scorecard
Physical Resilience60/100

Based on FEMA EAL and hazard intensity.

Insurance Stability
Market Stable

Metrics indicate a balanced risk-to-premium environment with standard renewal rates.

Spatial Analysis

Flood Plain Analysis

Significant Flood Exposure in Colonial Heights

FEMA Flood Maps for Colonial Heights identify the "100-year" and "500-year" floodplains (1% and 0.2% annual chance), but modern climate risk analysis suggests that nearly 25% of flood insurance claims originate from properties outside of these designated high-risk zones.

Use the map above to better understand risk by looking at both the FEMA flood plain maps and FEMA Risk Inventory maps by census tract. Standard FEMA maps may not account for 'flash flooding' from intense rain events.
FEMA Designation vs. Reality
Relatively High
Relative Vulnerability
$1,087,687
Annualized Property Exposure

Insurance Market & Climate Stress Analysis

Current Avg. Premium (2022)

$1,284
Latest Market Rate

Recent Year Change

+0.2%
YoY Increase

2030 Forecast

$1,272
Based on -0.12% CAGR

Market Retreat (Non-Renewals)

1.14%

Higher rates indicate insurers are actively reducing exposure to Colonial Heights due to climate-linked risk.

Underwriting Stress (Loss Ratio)

37.0%

A ratio over 70% suggests insurers are paying out nearly all premiums as claims, forcing future price hikes.

Historical Market Trends

Toggle series below to compare costs vs. market stress indicators

Historical Trends & Forecasting

Compare premium costs against underlying risk factors.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$1,087,687

Expected Annual Loss for Colonial Heights

73.6Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Earthquake

$61,888

Expected Annual Loss for Colonial Heights

64.7Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

Strong Wind

$52,894

Expected Annual Loss for Colonial Heights

79.6Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$1,087,687
Score: 73.6
MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$61,888
Score: 64.7
MAJOR DRIVER
Strong Wind
$52,894
Score: 79.6
Tornado
$32,181
Score: 37.9
Lightning
$30,142
Score: 79.6
Cold Wave
$27,747
Score: 36.4
Hail
$4,083
Score: 40.2
Hurricane
$3,148
Score: 43.5
Winter Weather
$2,597
Score: 49.9
Heat Wave
$1,670
Score: 2.9
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Landslide
$1,594
Score: 93.7
Wildfire
$834
Score: 64.4
Ice Storm
$461
Score: 5.1

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 73.6
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 64.7
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 79.6
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 79.6
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 93.7
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 64.4

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Climate Risk Modeling

The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and hazard risk scores are derived from the FEMA NRI zip code dataset using a population-weighted spatial join. Because Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, we utilize US Census Block Group population centroids to identify where residents actually live.

Financial & Insurance Metrics

The pysical resilence score is calculated by synthesizing Expected Annual Loss (EAL) against the total building replacement value within a jurisdiction. This creates a "Loss Ratio" that measures physical resilience. We supplement this with ZIP-code level data from the U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office (FIO), monitoring trends in premium growth, loss ratios, and policy non-renewals to identify emerging "Insurance Deserts."

Primary Data Sources

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Colonial Heights