Climate Risk Atlas/PA/Susquehanna Trails

Susquehanna Trails, PA Flooding & Climate Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Susquehanna Trails, PA are Inland Flooding, Hurricane, and Drought. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Winter Weather and Landslide compared to national averages. Based on recent federal data, homeowners in this market face an estimated average annual insurance premium of $1,153, with a local policy non-renewal rate of 0.9%.

City Risk Scorecard
Physical Resilience68/100

Based on FEMA EAL and hazard intensity.

Insurance Stability
Market Stable

Metrics indicate a balanced risk-to-premium environment with standard renewal rates.

Spatial Analysis

Flood Plain Analysis

Significant Flood Exposure in Susquehanna Trails

FEMA Flood Maps for Susquehanna Trails identify the "100-year" and "500-year" floodplains (1% and 0.2% annual chance), but modern climate risk analysis suggests that nearly 25% of flood insurance claims originate from properties outside of these designated high-risk zones.

Use the map above to better understand risk by looking at both the FEMA flood plain maps and FEMA Risk Inventory maps by census tract. Standard FEMA maps may not account for 'flash flooding' from intense rain events.
FEMA Designation vs. Reality
Relatively Moderate
Relative Vulnerability
$456,831
Annualized Property Exposure

Insurance Market & Climate Stress Analysis

Current Avg. Premium (2022)

$1,153
Latest Market Rate

Recent Year Change

+3.9%
YoY Increase

2030 Forecast

$1,179
Based on 0.28% CAGR

Market Retreat (Non-Renewals)

0.86%

Higher rates indicate insurers are actively reducing exposure to Susquehanna Trails due to climate-linked risk.

Underwriting Stress (Loss Ratio)

28.0%

A ratio over 70% suggests insurers are paying out nearly all premiums as claims, forcing future price hikes.

Historical Market Trends

Toggle series below to compare costs vs. market stress indicators

Historical Trends & Forecasting

Compare premium costs against underlying risk factors.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$456,831

Expected Annual Loss for Susquehanna Trails

74.7Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Hurricane

$96,762

Expected Annual Loss for Susquehanna Trails

83.5Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Drought

$42,364

Expected Annual Loss for Susquehanna Trails

95.4Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$456,831
Score: 74.7
MAJOR DRIVER
Hurricane
$96,762
Score: 83.5
MAJOR DRIVER
Drought
$42,364
Score: 95.4
Heat Wave
$26,632
Score: 62.8
Earthquake
$20,065
Score: 57.9
Cold Wave
$19,740
Score: 45.0
Strong Wind
$19,462
Score: 74.5
Lightning
$10,672
Score: 71.8
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Winter Weather
$8,814
Score: 91.8
Tornado
$7,462
Score: 28.6
Hail
$1,545
Score: 36.9
Ice Storm
$1,335
Score: 35.7
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Landslide
$756
Score: 93.9
Wildfire
$106
Score: 49.6

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 74.7
🌀High Investment

Hurricane Mitigation

Install permanent hurricane shutters or upgrade to impact-resistant windows.

Risk Score: 83.5
🏠Low Investment

Drought Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 95.4
☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 62.8
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 57.9
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 74.5
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 71.8
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 91.8
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 93.9

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Climate Risk Modeling

The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and hazard risk scores are derived from the FEMA NRI zip code dataset using a population-weighted spatial join. Because Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, we utilize US Census Block Group population centroids to identify where residents actually live.

Financial & Insurance Metrics

The pysical resilence score is calculated by synthesizing Expected Annual Loss (EAL) against the total building replacement value within a jurisdiction. This creates a "Loss Ratio" that measures physical resilience. We supplement this with ZIP-code level data from the U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office (FIO), monitoring trends in premium growth, loss ratios, and policy non-renewals to identify emerging "Insurance Deserts."

Primary Data Sources

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Susquehanna Trails