Climate Risk Atlas/PA/Ackermanville

Ackermanville, PA Flooding & Climate Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Ackermanville, PA are Inland Flooding, Hurricane, and Heat Wave. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Lightning, Winter Weather, Drought, and Landslide compared to national averages. Based on recent federal data, homeowners in this market face an estimated average annual insurance premium of $1,186, with a local policy non-renewal rate of 0.4%.

City Risk Scorecard
Physical Resilience71/100

Based on FEMA EAL and hazard intensity.

Insurance Stability
Market Stable

Metrics indicate a balanced risk-to-premium environment with standard renewal rates.

Spatial Analysis

Flood Plain Analysis

Significant Flood Exposure in Ackermanville

FEMA Flood Maps for Ackermanville identify the "100-year" and "500-year" floodplains (1% and 0.2% annual chance), but modern climate risk analysis suggests that nearly 25% of flood insurance claims originate from properties outside of these designated high-risk zones.

Use the map above to better understand risk by looking at both the FEMA flood plain maps and FEMA Risk Inventory maps by census tract. Standard FEMA maps may not account for 'flash flooding' from intense rain events.
FEMA Designation vs. Reality
Relatively High
Relative Vulnerability
$479,471
Annualized Property Exposure

Insurance Market & Climate Stress Analysis

Current Avg. Premium (2022)

$1,186
Latest Market Rate

Recent Year Change

+1.4%
YoY Increase

2030 Forecast

$1,240
Based on 0.56% CAGR

Market Retreat (Non-Renewals)

0.41%

Higher rates indicate insurers are actively reducing exposure to Ackermanville due to climate-linked risk.

Underwriting Stress (Loss Ratio)

40.0%

A ratio over 70% suggests insurers are paying out nearly all premiums as claims, forcing future price hikes.

Historical Market Trends

Toggle series below to compare costs vs. market stress indicators

Historical Trends & Forecasting

Compare premium costs against underlying risk factors.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$479,471

Expected Annual Loss for Ackermanville

88.8Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Hurricane

$39,899

Expected Annual Loss for Ackermanville

79.8Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Heat Wave

$39,005

Expected Annual Loss for Ackermanville

83.2Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$479,471
Score: 88.8
MAJOR DRIVER
Hurricane
$39,899
Score: 79.8
MAJOR DRIVER
Heat Wave
$39,005
Score: 83.2
Cold Wave
$36,473
Score: 70.3
Tornado
$30,933
Score: 58.1
Earthquake
$16,808
Score: 62.1
Strong Wind
$11,214
Score: 70.3
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Lightning
$10,717
Score: 83.0
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Winter Weather
$7,042
Score: 93.5
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Drought
$3,963
Score: 88.7
Ice Storm
$2,136
Score: 58.7
Hail
$1,148
Score: 38.2
Wildfire
$311
Score: 66.7
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Landslide
$231
Score: 91.1
Avalanche
$77
Score: 25.4

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 88.8
🌀High Investment

Hurricane Mitigation

Install permanent hurricane shutters or upgrade to impact-resistant windows.

Risk Score: 79.8
☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 83.2
🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 70.3
🌪️High Investment

Tornado Mitigation

Reinforce garage doors and consider a FEMA-approved safe room or storm cellar.

Risk Score: 58.1
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 62.1
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 70.3
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 83.0
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 93.5
🏠Low Investment

Drought Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 88.7
❄️Medium Investment

Ice Storm Mitigation

Install a 10kWh backup battery system to keep pipes from freezing during grid failure.

Risk Score: 58.7
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 66.7
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 91.1

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Climate Risk Modeling

The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and hazard risk scores are derived from the FEMA NRI zip code dataset using a population-weighted spatial join. Because Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, we utilize US Census Block Group population centroids to identify where residents actually live.

Financial & Insurance Metrics

The pysical resilence score is calculated by synthesizing Expected Annual Loss (EAL) against the total building replacement value within a jurisdiction. This creates a "Loss Ratio" that measures physical resilience. We supplement this with ZIP-code level data from the U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office (FIO), monitoring trends in premium growth, loss ratios, and policy non-renewals to identify emerging "Insurance Deserts."

Primary Data Sources

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Ackermanville