Tuscarawas, OH Flooding & Climate Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Tuscarawas, OH are Inland Flooding, Drought, and Tornado. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Landslide compared to national averages. Based on recent federal data, homeowners in this market face an estimated average annual insurance premium of $1,025, with a local policy non-renewal rate of 1.1%.

City Risk Scorecard
Physical Resilience60/100

Based on FEMA EAL and hazard intensity.

Insurance Stability
Underwriting Pressure

Loss ratios exceed 80%. Carriers are paying out significantly relative to premiums.

Spatial Analysis

Flood Plain Analysis

Localized Flood Dynamics in Tuscarawas

FEMA Flood Maps for Tuscarawas identify the "100-year" and "500-year" floodplains (1% and 0.2% annual chance), but modern climate risk analysis suggests that nearly 25% of flood insurance claims originate from properties outside of these designated high-risk zones.

Use the map above to better understand risk by looking at both the FEMA flood plain maps and FEMA Risk Inventory maps by census tract. Standard FEMA maps may not account for 'flash flooding' from intense rain events.
FEMA Designation vs. Reality
Very Low
Relative Vulnerability
$149,890
Annualized Property Exposure

Insurance Market & Climate Stress Analysis

Current Avg. Premium (2022)

$1,025
Latest Market Rate

Recent Year Change

+3.4%
YoY Increase

2030 Forecast

$1,005
Based on -0.24% CAGR

Market Retreat (Non-Renewals)

1.09%

Higher rates indicate insurers are actively reducing exposure to Tuscarawas due to climate-linked risk.

Underwriting Stress (Loss Ratio)

127.0%

A ratio over 70% suggests insurers are paying out nearly all premiums as claims, forcing future price hikes.

Historical Market Trends

Toggle series below to compare costs vs. market stress indicators

Historical Trends & Forecasting

Compare premium costs against underlying risk factors.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$149,890

Expected Annual Loss for Tuscarawas

13.8Score

Very Low compared to US average

Drought

$27,712

Expected Annual Loss for Tuscarawas

93.5Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Tornado

$10,049

Expected Annual Loss for Tuscarawas

29.4Score

Very Low compared to US average

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$149,890
Score: 13.8
MAJOR DRIVER
Drought
$27,712
Score: 93.5
MAJOR DRIVER
Tornado
$10,049
Score: 29.4
Hail
$9,741
Score: 65.5
Heat Wave
$8,369
Score: 19.7
Lightning
$8,250
Score: 55.6
Strong Wind
$6,972
Score: 40.3
Cold Wave
$4,186
Score: 22.1
Earthquake
$2,456
Score: 15.9
Ice Storm
$2,407
Score: 45.1
Winter Weather
$1,128
Score: 43.3
Hurricane
$516
Score: 33.3
Wildfire
$152
Score: 51.2
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Landslide
$68
Score: 81.9

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🏠Low Investment

Drought Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 93.5
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 65.5
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 55.6
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 51.2
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 81.9

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Climate Risk Modeling

The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and hazard risk scores are derived from the FEMA NRI zip code dataset using a population-weighted spatial join. Because Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, we utilize US Census Block Group population centroids to identify where residents actually live.

Financial & Insurance Metrics

The pysical resilence score is calculated by synthesizing Expected Annual Loss (EAL) against the total building replacement value within a jurisdiction. This creates a "Loss Ratio" that measures physical resilience. We supplement this with ZIP-code level data from the U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office (FIO), monitoring trends in premium growth, loss ratios, and policy non-renewals to identify emerging "Insurance Deserts."

Primary Data Sources

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Tuscarawas