Climate Risk Atlas/NY/Lake Katrine

Lake Katrine, NY Flooding & Climate Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Lake Katrine, NY are Inland Flooding, Tornado, and Hurricane. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Coastal Flooding compared to national averages. Based on recent federal data, homeowners in this market face an estimated average annual insurance premium of $1,142, with a local policy non-renewal rate of 0.2%.

City Risk Scorecard
Physical Resilience60/100

Based on FEMA EAL and hazard intensity.

Insurance Stability
Underwriting Pressure

Loss ratios exceed 80%. Carriers are paying out significantly relative to premiums.

Spatial Analysis

Flood Plain Analysis

Significant Flood Exposure in Lake Katrine

FEMA Flood Maps for Lake Katrine identify the "100-year" and "500-year" floodplains (1% and 0.2% annual chance), but modern climate risk analysis suggests that nearly 25% of flood insurance claims originate from properties outside of these designated high-risk zones.

Use the map above to better understand risk by looking at both the FEMA flood plain maps and FEMA Risk Inventory maps by census tract. Standard FEMA maps may not account for 'flash flooding' from intense rain events.
FEMA Designation vs. Reality
Relatively High
Relative Vulnerability
$334,747
Annualized Property Exposure

Insurance Market & Climate Stress Analysis

Current Avg. Premium (2022)

$1,142
Latest Market Rate

Recent Year Change

+2.8%
YoY Increase

2030 Forecast

$1,294
Based on 1.57% CAGR

Market Retreat (Non-Renewals)

0.24%

Higher rates indicate insurers are actively reducing exposure to Lake Katrine due to climate-linked risk.

Underwriting Stress (Loss Ratio)

97.0%

A ratio over 70% suggests insurers are paying out nearly all premiums as claims, forcing future price hikes.

Historical Market Trends

Toggle series below to compare costs vs. market stress indicators

Historical Trends & Forecasting

Compare premium costs against underlying risk factors.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$334,747

Expected Annual Loss for Lake Katrine

80.4Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Tornado

$53,698

Expected Annual Loss for Lake Katrine

71.8Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Hurricane

$33,690

Expected Annual Loss for Lake Katrine

79.0Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$334,747
Score: 80.4
MAJOR DRIVER
Tornado
$53,698
Score: 71.8
MAJOR DRIVER
Hurricane
$33,690
Score: 79.0
Cold Wave
$19,624
Score: 56.6
Strong Wind
$15,456
Score: 79.7
Earthquake
$9,198
Score: 50.6
Heat Wave
$8,952
Score: 41.5
Lightning
$8,595
Score: 79.1
Hail
$3,685
Score: 60.2
Ice Storm
$2,166
Score: 61.2
Winter Weather
$1,004
Score: 56.3
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Coastal Flooding
$998
Score: 82.1
Wildfire
$356
Score: 68.7
Landslide
$22
Score: 78.9

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 80.4
🌪️High Investment

Tornado Mitigation

Reinforce garage doors and consider a FEMA-approved safe room or storm cellar.

Risk Score: 71.8
🌀High Investment

Hurricane Mitigation

Install permanent hurricane shutters or upgrade to impact-resistant windows.

Risk Score: 79.0
🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 56.6
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 79.7
🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 50.6
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 79.1
🧊Medium Investment

Hail Mitigation

Replace roof with Class 4 impact-resistant shingles to significantly lower insurance premiums.

Risk Score: 60.2
❄️Medium Investment

Ice Storm Mitigation

Install a 10kWh backup battery system to keep pipes from freezing during grid failure.

Risk Score: 61.2
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 56.3
🏠Low Investment

Coastal Flooding Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 82.1
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 68.7
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 78.9

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Climate Risk Modeling

The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and hazard risk scores are derived from the FEMA NRI zip code dataset using a population-weighted spatial join. Because Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, we utilize US Census Block Group population centroids to identify where residents actually live.

Financial & Insurance Metrics

The pysical resilence score is calculated by synthesizing Expected Annual Loss (EAL) against the total building replacement value within a jurisdiction. This creates a "Loss Ratio" that measures physical resilience. We supplement this with ZIP-code level data from the U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office (FIO), monitoring trends in premium growth, loss ratios, and policy non-renewals to identify emerging "Insurance Deserts."

Primary Data Sources

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Lake Katrine