Irondequoit, NY Flooding & Climate Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Irondequoit, NY are Inland Flooding, Cold Wave, and Heat Wave. Based on recent federal data, homeowners in this market face an estimated average annual insurance premium of $861, with a local policy non-renewal rate of 0.4%.

City Risk Scorecard
Physical Resilience74/100

Based on FEMA EAL and hazard intensity.

Insurance Stability
Market Stable

Metrics indicate a balanced risk-to-premium environment with standard renewal rates.

Spatial Analysis

Flood Plain Analysis

Localized Flood Dynamics in Irondequoit

FEMA Flood Maps for Irondequoit identify the "100-year" and "500-year" floodplains (1% and 0.2% annual chance), but modern climate risk analysis suggests that nearly 25% of flood insurance claims originate from properties outside of these designated high-risk zones.

Use the map above to better understand risk by looking at both the FEMA flood plain maps and FEMA Risk Inventory maps by census tract. Standard FEMA maps may not account for 'flash flooding' from intense rain events.
FEMA Designation vs. Reality
Relatively High
Relative Vulnerability
$7,305,478
Annualized Property Exposure

Insurance Market & Climate Stress Analysis

Current Avg. Premium (2022)

$861
Latest Market Rate

Recent Year Change

+2.1%
YoY Increase

2030 Forecast

$946
Based on 1.19% CAGR

Market Retreat (Non-Renewals)

0.42%

Higher rates indicate insurers are actively reducing exposure to Irondequoit due to climate-linked risk.

Underwriting Stress (Loss Ratio)

58.6%

A ratio over 70% suggests insurers are paying out nearly all premiums as claims, forcing future price hikes.

Historical Market Trends

Toggle series below to compare costs vs. market stress indicators

Historical Trends & Forecasting

Compare premium costs against underlying risk factors.

Primary Risks

Inland Flooding

$7,305,478

Expected Annual Loss for Irondequoit

39.2Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Cold Wave

$1,356,974

Expected Annual Loss for Irondequoit

67.6Score

Relatively High compared to US average

Heat Wave

$388,097

Expected Annual Loss for Irondequoit

41.0Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$7,305,478
Score: 39.2
MAJOR DRIVER
Cold Wave
$1,356,974
Score: 67.6
MAJOR DRIVER
Heat Wave
$388,097
Score: 41.0
Tornado
$383,020
Score: 36.7
Earthquake
$107,314
Score: 24.6
Strong Wind
$75,140
Score: 25.3
Winter Weather
$47,399
Score: 57.8
Ice Storm
$44,096
Score: 39.9
Lightning
$40,418
Score: 19.2
Hurricane
$27,202
Score: 40.0
Hail
$4,967
Score: 10.7
Wildfire
$1,134
Score: 35.0
Coastal Flooding
$569
Score: 39.2
Landslide
$61
Score: 36.7

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 67.6
🏠Low Investment

Winter Weather Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 57.8

Sources and Methodology

Spatial Climate Risk Modeling

The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and hazard risk scores are derived from the FEMA NRI zip code dataset using a population-weighted spatial join. Because Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, we utilize US Census Block Group population centroids to identify where residents actually live.

Financial & Insurance Metrics

The pysical resilence score is calculated by synthesizing Expected Annual Loss (EAL) against the total building replacement value within a jurisdiction. This creates a "Loss Ratio" that measures physical resilience. We supplement this with ZIP-code level data from the U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office (FIO), monitoring trends in premium growth, loss ratios, and policy non-renewals to identify emerging "Insurance Deserts."

Primary Data Sources

Nearby Cities

Zip Codes in Irondequoit