Como, MS (38619) Earthquake & Climate Risk Profile

The primary drivers of climate-related financial risk in Como, MS (38619) are Earthquake, Inland Flooding, and Tornado. This area also faces an unusually high intensity for Cold Wave, Heat Wave, Strong Wind, Lightning, Wildfire, Drought, and Landslide compared to national averages. Based on recent federal data, homeowners in this market face an estimated average annual insurance premium of $1,880, with a local policy non-renewal rate of 1.1%.

Understanding the Dollars

Expected Annual Loss (EAL) is a statistical average of property damage for this entire zip code over a standard year across all properties.

  • / It represents the "average cost" rather than a guaranteed yearly bill.
  • / It can be used to compare the relative risk from different hazards and across different neighborhoods.

Zip Code Risk Map

Flood Plain Analysis

Localized Flood Dynamics in 38619

FEMA Flood Maps for 38619 identify the "100-year" and "500-year" floodplains (1% and 0.2% annual chance), but modern climate risk analysis suggests that nearly 25% of flood insurance claims originate from properties outside of these designated high-risk zones.

Use the map above to better understand risk by looking at both the FEMA flood plain maps and FEMA Risk Inventory maps by census tract. Standard FEMA maps may not account for 'flash flooding' from intense rain events.
FEMA Designation vs. Reality
Relatively Low
Relative Vulnerability
$516,891
Annualized Property Exposure

Primary Risks

Earthquake

$636,002

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 38619

86.3Score

Relatively Moderate compared to US average

Inland Flooding

$516,891

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 38619

33.9Score

Relatively Low compared to US average

Tornado

$493,962

Expected Annual Loss for Zip Code 38619

90.8Score

Very High compared to US average

Insurance Market Stability

Avg. Annual Premium (2022)

$1,880
Latest Market Rate

Year-over-Year Change

-0.4%
20212022

Market Retreat (Non-Renewals)

1.15%

Higher rates indicate insurers are actively reducing exposure to ZIP 38619 due to climate-linked risk.

Underwriting Stress (Loss Ratio)

71.0%

A ratio over 70% suggests insurers are paying out nearly all premiums as claims, forcing future price hikes.

Historical Market Trends

Toggle series below to compare costs vs. market stress indicators

Historical Trends & Forecasting

Compare premium costs against underlying risk factors.

Financial Risk Inventory

MAJOR DRIVER
Earthquake
$636,002
Score: 86.3
MAJOR DRIVER
Inland Flooding
$516,891
Score: 33.9
MAJOR DRIVER
Tornado
$493,962
Score: 90.8
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Cold Wave
$392,788
Score: 89.0
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Heat Wave
$263,943
Score: 91.4
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Strong Wind
$169,666
Score: 92.4
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Lightning
$77,850
Score: 94.8
Hurricane
$31,265
Score: 59.9
Hail
$19,836
Score: 65.4
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Wildfire
$17,563
Score: 85.8
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Drought
$14,945
Score: 88.4
Ice Storm
$6,811
Score: 54.2
UNUSUALLY HIGH
Landslide
$1,433
Score: 85.9
Winter Weather
$852
Score: 27.7

Recommended Mitigation Strategies

Recommended investments to protect your property value and reduce insurance liability based on your local risk profile.

🏠Low Investment

Earthquake Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 86.3
💧Medium Investment

Inland Flooding Mitigation

Install a smart sump pump with battery backup and extend downspouts 10ft from foundation.

Risk Score: 33.9
🌪️High Investment

Tornado Mitigation

Reinforce garage doors and consider a FEMA-approved safe room or storm cellar.

Risk Score: 90.8
🏠Low Investment

Cold Wave Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 89.0
☀️Low Investment

Heat Wave Mitigation

Ensure attic insulation is R-49+ and consider a dual-fuel backup generator for AC.

Risk Score: 91.4
💨Low Investment

Strong Wind Mitigation

Trim large trees back from the roofline and reinforce roof-to-wall connectors (hurricane straps).

Risk Score: 92.4
🏠Low Investment

Lightning Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 94.8
🔥Low Investment

Wildfire Mitigation

Create a 5ft 'non-combustible' zone around your home using gravel or pavers instead of mulch.

Risk Score: 85.8
🏠Low Investment

Drought Mitigation

General property maintenance and insurance review recommended.

Risk Score: 88.4
⛰️High Investment

Landslide Mitigation

Professional slope stabilization and foundation drainage inspection is highly recommended.

Risk Score: 85.9

Methodology and Sources

Spatial Climate Risk Modeling

The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) and hazard risk scores are derived from the FEMA NRI zip code dataset using a population-weighted spatial join. Because Zip Codes and Census Tracts do not share perfectly aligned boundaries, we utilize US Census Block Group population centroids to identify where residents actually live.

Financial & Insurance Metrics

The pysical resilence score is calculated by synthesizing Expected Annual Loss (EAL) against the total building replacement value within a jurisdiction. This creates a "Loss Ratio" that measures physical resilience. We supplement this with ZIP-code level data from the U.S. Treasury's Federal Insurance Office (FIO), monitoring trends in premium growth, loss ratios, and policy non-renewals to identify emerging "Insurance Deserts."

Primary Data Sources

Nearby Locations